Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.061739 0.069912 0.078316 0.087571 0.097448 0.107643 0.118935
2025-06-08 0.045520 0.057225 0.069963 0.084705 0.101153 0.118809 0.139068
2025-06-15 0.037542 0.051450 0.067285 0.086301 0.108195 0.132325 0.160650
2025-06-22 0.031305 0.046512 0.064550 0.086911 0.113331 0.143064 0.178588
2025-06-29 0.028403 0.045060 0.065466 0.091378 0.122578 0.158216 0.201320
2025-07-06 0.024223 0.041417 0.063250 0.091694 0.126620 0.167120 0.216703
2025-07-13 0.023664 0.042406 0.066734 0.098916 0.138881 0.185622 0.243237
2025-07-20 0.019378 0.037787 0.062624 0.096335 0.138993 0.189581 0.252623
2025-07-27 0.018058 0.037222 0.063725 0.100274 0.147050 0.202979 0.273125
2025-08-03 0.015874 0.035115 0.062552 0.101122 0.151148 0.211539 0.287839
2025-08-10 0.013918 0.033121 0.061361 0.101808 0.154939 0.219658 0.301986
2025-08-17 0.011768 0.030534 0.059125 0.100934 0.156616 0.225096 0.312838
2025-08-24 0.008932 0.026504 0.054726 0.097227 0.154920 0.226804 0.319800
2025-08-31 0.006770 0.023275 0.051281 0.094698 0.154715 0.230410 0.329210
2025-09-07 0.005776 0.022119 0.050933 0.096474 0.160174 0.241141 0.347415
2025-09-14 0.004730 0.020618 0.049885 0.097135 0.164072 0.249858 0.363122
2025-09-21 0.004462 0.020820 0.051634 0.101906 0.173562 0.265760 0.387831
2025-09-28 0.003590 0.019363 0.050457 0.102243 0.176946 0.273796 0.402715
2025-10-05 0.003786 0.020687 0.054135 0.109941 0.190521 0.295057 0.434268
2025-10-12 0.002691 0.018241 0.051013 0.107192 0.189558 0.297433 0.442051
2025-10-19 0.002497 0.018324 0.052415 0.111387 0.198281 0.312440 0.465809
2025-10-26 0.002008 0.017319 0.051732 0.112290 0.202357 0.321364 0.481880
2025-11-02 0.001579 0.016324 0.050977 0.113020 0.206155 0.329910 0.497476